he question of whether the President, Donald Trump, will win the 2024 election is on the minds of many, especially given his recent legal challenges. The legal challenges faced by President Donald Trump have raised questions about whether the Republican Party will continue to support him or distance itself from him. While Democrats are calling on Republicans to sever ties with Trump, many Republican candidates for office are still seeking his endorsement.
In Kentucky, all Republican candidates for governor express their support for Trump despite his legal troubles, while in West Virginia, a prominent Democrat criticizes Republican candidates for not distancing themselves from Trump. Some Republicans believe that Trump’s endorsements and support are crucial to winning elections, while others fear that association with him could harm their chances. The situation remains uncertain as the party navigates Trump’s ongoing legal problems and his role within it.
Overall, the pros and cons of Trump running for president again in 2024 are being hotly debated. On one hand, Trump remains a popular figure among the Republican voter base, and his endorsement could be essential for candidates seeking election. On the other hand, his legal troubles could tarnish the party’s image and damage its chances in the election. Ultimately, whether Trump should win again will depend on a range of factors, including his legal situation, his popularity among voters, and the party’s strategy for winning the presidency. In this article, we will examine the pros and cons of Trump running for president again in 2024 and the factors that could impact the decision, including his legal situation, popularity among voters, and the party’s strategy for winning the presidency.
Trump Pros:
Trump has some notable key areas that might give him an edge in winning the 2024 race again.
Popular Policies
During his previous term as president, Donald Trump’s positions and actions on issues related to immigration, trade, and foreign policy were widely approved of by his followers. These policies may have helped him gain support from a significant portion of the electorate. Trump could leverage this popularity in a future presidential campaign in 2024 by highlighting these policies again as part of his campaign platform. By doing so, he may hope to appeal to the same supporters who backed him in the previous election and potentially gain new followers who share similar views on these issues.
The Escalating Legal Troubles of Donald Trump
Donald Trump has been charged with 34 felony counts related to falsifying business records in connection to the Stormy Daniels payment. Despite this, Trump’s popularity with Republican primary voters remains strong, and he maintains a significant lead over Ron DeSantis in recent polls. However, if Trump faces further indictments, his lead in the polls may suffer. Trump is currently facing three other criminal investigations, including one by the Department of Justice related to his alleged role in the Capitol attack. Still, he remains a popular choice among the public, with 51% preferring him as the Republican nominee for the 2024 election according to an ABC News/Washington Post poll.
The Million-Dollar Question: Who Will Win the Fundraising Game in 2024?
Despite being indicted, US President Donald Trump remains popular among Republican primary voters. He was able to raise $7 million in just three days after his indictment. Small-dollar digital fundraising has become increasingly important in elections, and Trump’s campaign is benefiting from the rising number of small donors. While big-dollar Republican donors are reportedly trying to block Trump’s candidacy, their efforts seem to be overshadowed by the support of small donors.
As a result, Trump and Florida Governor Ron DeSantis are expected to have enough resources to compete in the Republican primaries. However, the general election could be challenging for Trump in terms of fundraising. Democrats argue that Trump would alienate many key constituencies, making it difficult for him to raise funds. Although, Trump is expected to have no difficulty financing a primary campaign, and he is likely to receive significant outside help from pro-Trump super PACs. It’s worth noting that raising enough money is a significant concern for all potential Republican candidates, not just Trump, as they prepare to compete in the upcoming elections.
The Size of the GOP Field: Implications for the Primaries and Beyond
The potential impact of the number of Republican candidates who run against President Donald Trump in the party’s primary race. In 2016, the GOP field was crowded with 17 candidates, which allowed Trump to win the first few primary contests with less than 40% of the vote. So, the size of the field will be critical to Trump’s success or failure. Currently, only three candidates have officially entered the Republican presidential race, including Nikki Haley, Vivek Ramaswamy, and Asa Hutchinson. However, several other prominent Republicans, including Ron DeSantis, Mike Pence, and Mike Pompeo, are reportedly considering running. The field is still uncertain, and most potential candidates have not yet settled on an ideological lane.
DeSantis is known for his reputation as a culture warrior who is unafraid to tackle controversial social issues, but he has not announced his candidacy yet. DeSantis is expected to announce his decision after the Florida legislative session ends in early May. Multiple sources suggest that DeSantis is waiting to see if Trump’s legal issues worsen, which could make him a more favorable alternative to Trump. Nevertheless, delaying confrontation with Trump could backfire since some conservative voters are more likely to support Trump if the establishment powers urge them not to. As the field is still uncertain, policy differences between the candidates are only beginning to emerge.
Trump Cons:
Besides the advantages, several variables could impact Trump’s campaign agenda and potentially harm his chances of winning the election.
Trump’s age:
Donald Trump will be 78 years old in 2024, which is older than any president who has previously held office. While some may see his age and experience as an advantage, others may worry about his ability to handle the physical and mental demands of the presidency at his age.
Divisiveness:
Trump’s presidency was marked by a high degree of divisiveness and polarization, with his supporters and detractors often at odds with each other. Some Americans may be hesitant to vote for Trump again in 2024 because they fear that his presidency could exacerbate these divisions even further, potentially leading to civil unrest or violence.
Legal challenges:
Trump’s presidency was also marked by some legal challenges, including the investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 election and the impeachment proceedings related to the Ukraine scandal. Some Americans may be hesitant to vote for Trump again in 2024 because they fear that his presidency could be plagued by similar legal challenges, potentially distracting him from his duties as president.
Some Cons of Joe Biden might be Pros for Trump!
Age and health concerns:
Joe Biden will be 82 years old in 2024, which is older than any president who has previously held office. Some Americans may be concerned about his age and health, and worry that he may not be physically or mentally capable of handling the demands of the presidency for another four years.
Partisan gridlock:
With a closely divided Congress, some Americans may be concerned that Joe Biden’s presidency could be plagued by partisan gridlock and an inability to pass meaningful legislation. If he runs for re-election in 2024, he may face criticism from voters who feel that he has not done enough to bridge the partisan divide and work towards bipartisan solutions.
Unpopular policies:
While Joe Biden remains a popular figure among many Americans, some of his policies may be unpopular with certain segments of the population. For example, his proposed tax increases on the wealthy and corporations may be unpopular with some voters, while his support for gun control measures may be unpopular with others.
Competitiveness:
While Joe Biden won the 2020 election, it is unclear whether he would be able to win a general election in 2024. Some Americans may be hesitant to support Biden again in 2024 because they feel that his policies and leadership style are too liberal, or because they believe that a different Democratic candidate would be more competitive in a general election.
Border crisis:
The Biden administration has faced criticism over its handling of the situation at the US-Mexico border, with some Americans concerned about the influx of migrants and the government’s ability to process them effectively. Some critics argue that the administration’s immigration policies are too lenient and have encouraged more migrants to come to the US.
Rising inflation:
Inflation has been on the rise during Biden’s presidency, which has led to higher prices for goods and services. Some Americans are concerned that this could hurt their purchasing power and make it more difficult to make ends meet.
Afghanistan withdrawal:
The chaotic withdrawal of US troops from Afghanistan in August 2021 was widely criticized, with some arguing that the Biden administration mishandled the situation and put American lives at risk. Some Americans are concerned about the long-term implications of the withdrawal, including the potential for Afghanistan to once again become a haven for terrorists.
Tax increases:
Joe Biden has proposed several tax increases on the wealthy and corporations to fund his policy agenda. Some Americans are concerned that these tax increases will stifle economic growth and hurt small businesses, and may view the Biden administration’s economic policies as misguided as a result.
Biden Approval Rating Slip:
A new Reuters/Ipsos poll on May 10 showed that U.S. President Joe Biden’s public approval was at 40%, close to the lowest level of his presidency. Americans are unhappy about his handling of immigration and inflation, with only 26% approving of his handling of immigration. The economy remains the top concern, and 54% of respondents were against raising the number of immigrants allowed into the country every year. Sixty-six percent of respondents support sending active-duty U.S. soldiers to the border to support Border Patrol agents. Biden is also facing criticism from Republicans over government spending and the federal debt ceiling, which 54% of respondents oppose raising.
The question of whether Donald Trump will make a comeback as the President of the United States in 2024 remains shrouded in uncertainty. While he continues to enjoy popularity among Republican voters and his backing could significantly sway candidates seeking election, his legal troubles could tarnish the party’s image and harm its chances of winning the election. Moreover, his age, legal predicaments, and divisive personality could play a significant role in determining his candidacy. Nonetheless, some of the negative aspects of Joe Biden’s presidency, such as his age, lack of progress, and unpopular policies, could turn out to be advantages for Trump. Ultimately, the verdict on whether Trump should run again hinges on several factors, including his legal situation, his favorability among voters, and the party’s roadmap for claiming the presidency. However, recent polls indicate that Trump is leading the pack to become the Republican nominee for the presidency.
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